By Nigel Chiwaya Share this: 0 states have flipped Start with the results of the previous election, adjusted for demographic change since 2016. Then adjust the sliders to see how shifts in turnout ...

Calvo, Richard, Vincent Pons, and Jesse M. Shapiro. "Pitfalls of Demographic Forecasts of U.S. Elections." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 33016, October 2024.

SurveyMonkey polled people over the course of October and November 2016 to see where the election is leaning. While Clinton leads in overall polls, what if only one demographic of people voted?

An curved arrow pointing right. SurveyMonkey polled upwards of 50,000 people over the course of October 2016 to see where the election is leaning. While Clinton is leading in overall polls, what ...

The increase adds to the citizen voting age population (CVAP) statistic in Texas, which consists of people who are eligible ...

Four Duke experts Tuesday discussed the North Carolina electorate, the issues behind support for either candidate in North Carolina, polling and changing demographics. “Polls are not a tool that are ...

In the U.S., citizens are more likely to vote as they age. With the U.S. in another presidential election year, the demographic with the highest turnout will have the most sway over results.