increasing the actual inflation rate and creating a self-fulfilling prophecy. In this FRED Blog post, we compare “breakeven” inflation expectations with actual inflation to see how they’ve both ...

TIPS have outperformed traditional bonds year-to-date, reflecting heightened inflation concerns. Click here for a detailed analysis.

Investors in financial derivatives called U.S. inflation swaps are betting that President Donald Trump's tariffs will have a ...

The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations, declined 8.3 basis points to 3.605% after hitting 3.465%, its lowest level since early September 2022 ...

Q1 2025 marked the worst quarter for the S&P 500 since 2009 in terms of its performance relative to global stocks. The ...

Government-bond markets worldwide were rallying a day after President Donald Trump’s latest tariff announcement as investors ...

This marks the largest anticipated jump for manufacturing firms in at least 3 years. According to The Kobeissi Letter, the 5-year breakeven inflation rate has increased to 2.66%, marking the highest ...