The soundings also indicate marginal-to-adequate wind shear values to support thunderstorm development and maintenance as a ...

The Latest on Arthur It’s important to understand what exactly is going to happen between Thursday night and Friday night. A cold front will be coming through our region on Thursday evening from the ...

Best July 4th Weather in Years Jonathan Carr 13:22, 3.Jul 2025 Discussion: A small trough is approaching NJ and will swing through between today (Thursday) and Sunday. As it approaches closer tonight ...

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety discussion and ...

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety discussion and ...

Discussion: Hard to deduce much from 250/500mb levels. The jet will be a little N of NJ. Geopotential height anomalies are modeled only a little above average. But overall a near-zonal flow until a ...

Discussion: Now that most of NJ is out of the oven (Mon-Wed heat) and resting (except for SWNJ and WCNJ – they are still cooking), I wanted to update for the coming weekend. Not quite yet the detailed ...

Discussion: We’re now in a warm sector. The warm front is through and winds are changing to more of a SW direction with increasing temperatures and humidity. A round or two of showers and ...

Discussion: The upper-jet, observed at 250mb, should stay N of NJ for most of the foreseeable future outside of a small dip this Thursday-Friday. That jives with 500mb heights analysis of the bottom ...

Discussion: The upper-jet, observed at 250mb, should stay to the N of NJ for the next week or so. This will keep NJ under slightly higher geopotential heights, observed at 500mb, for the same ...

Discussion: The upper jet should be over of just N of NJ this week. That jives with the expected average profile of geopotential height anomalies of the near-zonal flow pattern. There will be an upper ...