最近的调查预计技术奇点会更快到来。例如,2023年进行的一项最新研究询问了2,778名科学家,并建议最迟到2040年才能实现AGI。该领域的一些人,如AI研究员兼AI公司Thropic的首席执行官DarioAmodei,认为它甚至可能最快在2026年发生。
As computers have improved at an accelerating rate for generations now, fears of some emergent super intelligent computer mind have grown, but is such a Technological Singularity Inevitable ...
A new macro analysis of surveys over the past 15 years shows where scientists and industry experts stand on the question and how their predictions have changed over time, especially after the arrival ...
Moore’s Law was the gold standard for predicting technological progress for years. Introduced by Gordon Moore, co-founder of Intel, in 1965, it stated that the number of transistors on a chip would ...
In 2015, Waitbutwhy.com had some articles and diagrams explaining how the artificial intelligence revolution of a technological singularity would play out. The diagram above shows how there would be a ...
The singularity isn’t one event but a series of AI-driven shifts blurring the line between human and machine, some unfolding now, others still ahead.
Ray Kurzweil has long predicted this event, pegging it at 2045, arguing that exponential technological growth will lead to an intelligence explosion. But what if the singularity isn’t a single ...
SingularityHub chronicles the technological frontier with coverage of the breakthroughs, players, and issues shaping the future. Hub focuses on fast-moving technologies in fields like artificial ...