Forecasters worry about warm water in the Atlantic Ocean where hurricanes form and the predicted absence of an El Niño.

If the Atlantic basin remains warm and the Pacific ENSO remains close to neutral, the hurricane season could be an active one.

"If you can't really forecast accurately this time of year what's going to happen in the Pacific with La Niña or El Niño ... and it spawned 28 named storms — a record breaker until 2020, when 30 ...

Colorado State researchers said there's a 51% chance of a major hurricane making landfall somewhere along the U.S. coastline.

While a return to neutral is expected in the coming months, natural climate events are occurring alongside human-driven climate change that’s turning up the heat ...

This shows the traditional calculation for Niño-3.4, the monthly temperature compared to the most recent 30-year average (1991–2020 for the 2024 line). By this measure, the La Niña threshold ...

Once La Niña fades, "the odds of El Niño appear low for this summer/fall. For example, NOAA's latest forecast only has ... based on records from 1880 to 2020, is 43%. A major hurricane has ...