In the 2022 federal election, two demographics were key to the final outcome: women and young people. With another election fast approaching, will they swing the result again? To answer this question, ...

Calvo, Richard, Vincent Pons, and Jesse M. Shapiro. "Pitfalls of Demographic Forecasts of U.S. Elections." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 33016, October 2024.

The increase adds to the citizen voting age population (CVAP) statistic in Texas, which consists of people who are eligible ...

Four Duke experts Tuesday discussed the North Carolina electorate, the issues behind support for either candidate in North Carolina, polling and changing demographics. “Polls are not a tool that are ...

“There are blue precincts that are getting bluer by the minute, red precincts that are getting redder by the minute and an incredibly small number that cross over between the two,” Cooper said.

As in previous elections, Republicans, older voters and white voters had the highest turnout rates of all demographics. But one trend held true across party, race and age: turnout was down.