“To be more data dependent, the Fed needs a lot of flexibility,” Sweet says. “The dot plot isn’t a forecast. It’s not a commitment. Interest rate projections change as the economy ...

MBS are very close to their February 5th levels, which were the best since the morning of December 18th before the Fed announcement (and dot plot) caused a big sell-off.  Today, it's econ data that's ...

Federal Reserve officials publish their forecasts for the central bank’s key interest rate on a chart known as the 'dot plot.' Below, we've highlighted the median forecast in orange. The ...

This approach, quite naturally, undermines the Fed’s allegiance to a very different principle that it frequently touts: “data dependence.” Fed officials themselves have pointed out problems with the ...

The median forecasts in the so-called “dot plot” implied another half-point of cuts in 2026, then a quarter-point decrease in 2027, which would take the target range to 3.0% to 3.25%.

Wednesday’s dot plot is likely to imply fewer cuts next ... It will be hard for Powell to shake his “data dependent” slogan, especially given the Fed chair’s desire to avoid commenting ...