Austrian Business Cycle Theory (ABCT): A theory that explains economic cycles as a result of artificial manipulation of interest rates by central banks, leading to misallocation of resources.

While there are various theories as to what causes one cycle to end and another to begin, there are no set rules or timelines. A boom during wartime may be followed by a long recession or even ...

Cross-sectional uncertainty and the business cycle: Evidence from 40 years of options data American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics. Author(s) Ian Dew-Becker . Stefano Giglio . Date Published: 2021.

Real Business Cycle Theory: Suggests that technology changes or external factors like natural disasters primarily drive economic ups and downs. No matter the cause, we know that these cycles ...

Understanding the economy requires recognizing the predictable sequence of the Business Cycle, which is critical for long-term investment strategies. Read the full article here.

Citi strategists unveil ‘no cycle’ theory amid economic uncertainty Last Updated: Oct. 22, 2024 at 9:09 a.m. ET First Published: Oct. 22, 2024 at 6:38 a.m. ET Share ...

The way this business cycle likely ends was finally visible in the corporate earnings reports released in the last few days. It’s not about a downturn in growth due to waning consumer demand ...

With the business cycle now turning up, Pal expects Bitcoin to top in late 2025 or even early 2026. This cycle peak should coincide with the top of the ISM business cycle, which has historically ...